England Championship 2026/2027 – Football Excel Fixture Prediction
This England Championship 2026/2027 Football Excel Fixture Prediction is designed as a complete season-analysis and prediction workbook for the English Championship. The official EFL has already released the 2026/27 fixtures, with the Championship season beginning in August 2026.
The workbook is built around the 24 Championship 2026/2027 clubs, covering the complete fixture calendar, results, league tables, team statistics, recent form, home/away performance, head-to-head analysis and mathematical predictions. The official EFL competition page lists the 24 clubs for the 2026/27 season, including Birmingham City, Blackburn Rovers, Bolton Wanderers, Bristol City, Burnley, Cardiff City, Charlton Athletic, Derby County, Lincoln City, Middlesbrough, Millwall, Norwich City, Portsmouth, Preston North End, QPR, Sheffield United, Stoke City, Swansea City, Watford, West Bromwich Albion, West Ham United, Wolverhampton Wanderers, Wrexham and Southampton.

📊 Main Excel Sheets
1. Fixtures
The Fixtures sheet contains the complete Championship 2026/27 fixture list, including:
- Matchday / Gameweek
- Date
- Kick-off time
- Home Team
- Away Team
- Home Goals
- Away Goals
- Result
- Prediction
- Prediction Confidence
- Over/Under prediction
- BTTS prediction
- Correct Score prediction
- Actual result comparison
The official 2026/27 fixture list was released by the EFL Championship 2026/2027 on 25 June 2026.
🏆 2. League Table
The League Table sheet automatically calculates:
- Position
- Team
- Played
- Wins
- Draws
- Losses
- Goals For
- Goals Against
- Goal Difference
- Points
- Home Points
- Away Points
- Current Form
The table can automatically update as results are entered.

📈 3. Team Statistics
A detailed statistical database for every Championship 2026/2027 club can include:
- Average goals scored
- Average goals conceded
- Home goals scored
- Home goals conceded
- Away goals scored
- Away goals conceded
- Clean sheets
- Failed to score
- BTTS percentage
- Over 1.5 percentage
- Over 2.5 percentage
- Over 3.5 percentage
- Under 2.5 percentage
- Average total goals
- Win percentage
- Draw percentage
- Loss percentage
This makes it possible to compare teams statistically rather than relying only on league position.
🔥 4. Last 5 Matches
The prediction model analyzes each team’s most recent five matches.
For each team it calculates:
- Wins
- Draws
- Losses
- Goals scored
- Goals conceded
- Average goals scored
- Average goals conceded
- Over 1.5
- Over 2.5
- BTTS
- Clean sheets
- Current form
Recent form receives a significant weighting because a team’s performance can change considerably during a season.

📊 5. Last 10 Matches
A larger sample of the last 10 matches is used to reduce the influence of one or two unusual results.
The model can compare:
Last 5 + Last 10 + Season Average
This creates a more balanced picture of current team strength.
🏠 6. Home / Away Form
Home and away performance are analyzed separately.
For the home team:
- Home wins
- Home draws
- Home defeats
- Home goals scored
- Home goals conceded
- Home average goals
For the away team:
- Away wins
- Away draws
- Away defeats
- Away goals scored
- Away goals conceded
- Away average goals
This is particularly important in the Championship because home advantage can have a significant effect on match probabilities.

⚔️ 7. Head-to-Head
The H2H sheet analyzes previous meetings between the selected teams:
- Previous meetings
- Home wins
- Draws
- Away wins
- Goals scored
- Goals conceded
- BTTS
- Over 1.5
- Over 2.5
- Under 2.5
- Most recent meetings
The H2H component should have a lower weighting than current form so that very old matches do not dominate the prediction.
🎯 8. Prediction Sheet
The main interactive part of the Excel workbook is the Prediction sheet.
The user selects:
Home Team: ▼
Away Team: ▼
The workbook then automatically produces a complete prediction.
For example:
Home Team: Middlesbrough
Away Team: Norwich City
The Excel model can generate:
- Home Win %
- Draw %
- Away Win %
- Expected Home Goals
- Expected Away Goals
- Expected Total Goals
- Most likely result
- BTTS prediction
- Over 1.5
- Over 2.5
- Over 3.5
- Under 2.5
- Correct Score
- Confidence rating
🧮 Prediction Model
The prediction engine can combine multiple factors rather than using only league position.
A suggested weighting system is:
| Factor | Weight |
|---|---|
| Last 5 Form | 20% |
| Last 10 Form | 15% |
| Home/Away Form | 20% |
| Season Performance | 15% |
| Goals Scoring/Conceding | 10% |
| Head-to-Head | 5% |
| Recent Home/Away Goals | 10% |
| League Position | 5% |
Total = 100%
The weights can be modified later depending on how accurately the model performs during the season.
⚽ 9. Goals Prediction
The workbook can calculate expected goals for both teams.
For example:
Expected Home Goals: 1.65
Expected Away Goals: 1.12
From these values, the model can calculate probabilities for different scorelines.
Possible predictions include:
- 0–0
- 1–0
- 1–1
- 2–0
- 2–1
- 2–2
- 3–1
- 3–2
The model can use a Poisson-style probability calculation to estimate the likelihood of individual scores.
📌 10. Over / Under
The Excel file can automatically calculate:
Over 0.5
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
and:
Under 1.5
Under 2.5
Under 3.5
Under 4.5
The most important market can be highlighted as the model’s strongest statistical selection.
🟢 11. BTTS Prediction
The workbook can also calculate Both Teams To Score (BTTS).
It considers:
- Home team’s scoring rate
- Away team’s scoring rate
- Home team’s clean-sheet rate
- Away team’s clean-sheet rate
- Recent BTTS results
- H2H BTTS results
Output:
BTTS: YES / NO
with an estimated probability such as:
BTTS YES – 64%
📅 12. Fixture Analysis
Because the official Championship schedule is available for the entire Championship 2026/2027 campaign, the workbook can be used not only for individual games but also for fixture analysis throughout the season.
You can analyze:
- Upcoming fixtures
- Difficult fixtures
- Easy fixtures
- Home sequences
- Away sequences
- Consecutive matches against strong teams
- Consecutive matches against weaker teams
- Monthly performance
- Fixture congestion
📊 13. Prediction Dashboard
A professional dashboard can summarize the entire Championship season.
It can show:
League
- Current table
- Top 6
- Promotion contenders
- Play-off contenders
- Relegation contenders
Form
- Best current form
- Worst current form
- Best home teams
- Best away teams
Goals
- Highest-scoring teams
- Best defensive teams
- Highest Over 2.5 teams
- Highest BTTS teams
Predictions
- Today’s/next fixtures
- Strongest Home Win
- Strongest Draw
- Strongest Away Win
- Strongest Over 2.5
- Strongest BTTS
🔄 14. Automatic Updates
The workbook can be designed so that when you enter the latest results, the following automatically update:
Results → Team Statistics → Form → League Table → Prediction → Dashboard
This makes the Excel file useful throughout the entire 2026/27 season instead of only at the beginning.
The EFL’s official Championship page currently provides the fixtures, results, table and competition statistics, making it possible to maintain the workbook as the season progresses.
🎲 15. Fixture Prediction
For every fixture, the workbook can produce a prediction such as: Championship 2026/2027
Prediction: Home Win
Probability: 52%
Draw: 27%
Away Win: 21%
Expected Goals: 1.72 – 1.05
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Correct Score: 2–1
Confidence: Medium
This allows you to compare the model’s prediction against the actual result after the match.
📉 16. Prediction Accuracy
An important feature is tracking how well the model performs.
The workbook can record:
- Total predictions
- Correct 1X2 predictions
- Incorrect predictions
- Prediction accuracy %
- Correct Over/Under predictions
- Correct BTTS predictions
- Correct score predictions
- Average confidence
- Performance by team
- Performance by prediction type
This is especially useful because the model can be adjusted based on actual Championship results.
🧠 Advanced Prediction Championship 2026/2027
For a more advanced version, the Excel file can combine:
Recent Form + Season Strength + Home/Away Strength + Goals + H2H + Poisson Probability + League Position + Prediction Confidence
The objective is not simply to predict a winner, but to identify the most statistically probable outcomes for every Championship fixture.
⚠️ Important Note Championship 2026/2027
This Excel model is designed for football analysis and statistical prediction. Predictions are probabilities, not guaranteed results. Injuries, suspensions, transfers, tactics, rotation, motivation, managerial changes and unexpected match events can significantly affect the actual result.
The best approach is therefore to use the workbook as an analytical tool, rather than relying on a single prediction or using it as the sole basis for betting decisions.




